• <tr id="yyy80"></tr>
  • <sup id="yyy80"></sup>
  • <tfoot id="yyy80"><noscript id="yyy80"></noscript></tfoot>
  • 99热精品在线国产_美女午夜性视频免费_国产精品国产高清国产av_av欧美777_自拍偷自拍亚洲精品老妇_亚洲熟女精品中文字幕_www日本黄色视频网_国产精品野战在线观看 ?

    Change in Public Administration from the Perspective of Risk Society

    2018-01-26 05:27:52ZhangHaibo
    Contemporary Social Sciences 2017年6期

    Zhang Haibo*

    1. Connotation and characteristics of risk society

    The risk society theory was proposed in the 1980s by Ulrich Beck, Anthony Giddens and Scott Lash. The occurrence of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) in the UK in 1996, the September 11 attacks in the USA in 2001, and the outbreak of SARS in China in 2003, made the theory widely recognized and accepted all over the world and made it a leading theory in social science research. As a matter of fact, the risk society theory is an overall diagnosis on modernity. Beck (1992)believed that, “In terms of regime, social problems and conflicts of a ‘wealth distribution’ society will sooner or later be associated with relevant factors of a ‘risk distribution’ society in the continuous process of modernization from the historical perspective of society evolution” (p.20). However, Giddens (2000)held that in all traditional cultures, what concerns people is the future risks from external industrial societies and people are even more concerned about risks caused by their own industries. Lash(2002) pointed out that we should not judge if there is any increase in the risks we face only from the perspective of natural hazards but we should look for risks faced by the social structure and that we are facing much greater risks than before either from the perspective of the growth of individualism or threats from other countries.

    The risk society theory can be traced back to the 1950s when the notion of risk society became known in the social sciences. This inference is mainly drawn from arguments of Beck and Giddens. Beck took nuclear disaster as the biggest risk while Giddens also regards it as the top threat of risk society. This kind of cognition and fear toward nuclear disaster initially took shape during the Cold War, when the US and the former Soviet Union competed with nuclear arms, leading to the situation as described by Lash (2002), “What accompanies the era of risk culture may possibly be tremendous trepidation and trembling of mankind which excludes any fear and anxiety on a small scale.”

    The internal logic of risk society lies in reflexivity of modernity or reflexive modernity.According to Lash (2001), “Reflexive modernity refers to the possibility of creatively destroying(by ourselves) an entire era — the era of industrial society. The object destroyed is not the revolution of western modernization, nor the crisis it has caused,but its fruits of victory” (p.5). From a large spatial and temporal scale, the evolution of human society can be classified into traditional, modern, and postmodern societies, or pre-industrial, industrial and post-industrial societies. Beck coined a brand-new concept of “risk society” as he believed that “post” is an empty word. Externally, risk society features the following aspects.

    1.1 Chaos

    The evolution from industrial society to risk society brought along a rapid development in science, technology and institutions, but this has not made society safer in reality, nor made the public feel safer spiritually. This is because although scientific and technological development did bring about huge increase in productivity, “The exponential growth of productivity unleashed hazards and potential threats to an unprecedented extent” (Beck, 1992, p.20).It is the same case with institutional development.Giddens(1990) pointed out that the four institutional pillars of modernity may bring about severe risks,e.g., totalitarianism from the world’s nation-state systems, economic collapse from the world’s capitalist economies, ecological deterioration from the international system for division of labor, and a possible nuclear war from military totalitarianism(pp.4-9). From this perspective, although modernity reduces overall risks in certain fields and lifestyles, it also introduces some new risk parameters that were previously little known or totally unknown, and are related to risks of severe consequences (Giddens,1998, p.4). Risk society neither becomes safer objectively, nor makes people feel safe subjectively.Just as Beck (1992) stated, “If the impetus of class society can be summarized in one sentence, then it is: I am hungry! In the case of collective personality of risk society, it is: I am afraid” (p.44)!

    Superficially, it seems that the subjective loss of a sense of security is mainly due to threats of various disasters. Scientific, technological and ecological catastrophes are typical outcomes of risk society. Even in terms of natural disasters, which have not withdrawn from the historical stage. Owing to changes in global climate and environment, they result from risk society and are not entirely external risks as mentioned by Giddens. Just as Kathleen Tierney (2012) said, “A disaster is the explicit failure of the governance of the human environment”(pp.341-363). Robert Stallings (1998) also pointed out, “Disasters are fundamentally disruptions of routines” (pp.127-145). What a disaster brings about is a non-routine relative to routine or chaos relative to order. Disorder of a social system inevitability leads to a rise in uncertainties and consequently a fall in the sense of security.

    1.2 Superposition

    The evolution from industrial society to risk society is a transition instead of a diversion. This shows that the change in the core logic of social development does not mean that all problems of industrial society will disappear in risk society.Although the key issue of risk society is risk distribution, the issue of wealth distribution in industrial society still exists in risk society and superposes on risk distribution. The general presentation is: Those with more wealth take fewer risks while those with a lack of materials bear more risks. This is how the meaning of risk differs in the contexts of sociology and economics. In the context of economics, risk is generally regarded as the origin of profit as one can gain profit only by bearing risks so it is assumed that people with more wealth bear greater risks. In the context of sociology,risk distribution is merely another form of social inequality.

    1.3 Systematicity

    Risk society originates from reflexivity of modernity in nature and is a systematic consequence of industrial society. The systematicity of risk society makes risks incalculable and confirmation of responsibility unfeasible, easily leading to “organized irresponsibility” as stated by Beck.①“Organized irresponsibility” is a concept introduced by Beck in Gegengifte, mainly related to systematicity of risk society.The reasons include some disasters may cause irreparable worldwide damage so that monetary damages in risk calculations would be meaningless, for the worst accident disaster relief considered in risk calculations and the concept of security requiring early warning and monitoring of consequence are pointless, the entire unbounded nature of time and space for a disaster makes such calculations impractical, and the fact that the influences of a disaster are no longer conventional makes such calculations an endless task(Beck, 2003).

    1.4 Globality

    Beck (2002) held that, “Viewing from the prevalence of pollution and a super national perspective, the life of a blade of grass in the Bavarian Forest will eventually depend on the formulation of and compliance with international conventions. In this sense, risk society exists worldwide.” In addition to that, he pointed out the boomerang effect of global risk, i.e., the one who generates a risk will sooner or later bear that risk.Developed countries will be no exception even though they transfer hazardous industries to third world countries with low pay because industrial pollution and damage transcend national boundaries(pp.37-44). The connotation of global risk society lies in, “The application of decisions of our civilization may cause global consequences which may trigger a series of problems and risks which form a striking contrast to stereotypical words and various commitments authorities express in the face of worldwide catastrophes” (Beck, 2004).

    2. Challenges of risk society to public administration

    Public administration can be classified as industrial society oriented and risk society oriented by internal logic of risk society theory. The former focuses on public affairs pertinent to development while the latter pays attention to public affairs relevant to security. Specifically, challenges of risk society to public administration can be analyzed from the following three aspects.

    2.1 Circumstance

    Every administrative behavior takes place in a specific circumstance and is adaptive to that circumstance. It is also the case with public administration. In risk society, public administration is faced with more complex circumstances. In general, its functional boundary needs to be expanded so that it can cover not only the ordered state but also the chaotic state of the social system in the context of large increases in disaster impact,disruption of social functions and disorder of the social system. In the context of risk society, a disaster is not an isolated incident but an explicit presentation of risks and a prelude of a crisis. Risk,disaster and crisis constitute complex circumstances for public administration in risk society and are a successive process. The academic circle holds that these three circumstances are extremely challenging to public administration in a chaotic state of a social system following a disaster.

    2.1.1 Extreme disaster

    Enrico Quarantelli (2006), founder of sociology of disaster, introduced the concept of catastrophe to distinguish it from community disaster and everyday emergency. A catastrophe has such features: (1) The majority or the entire community structure is damaged so severely that it is impossible for displaced victims to seek shelter with nearby relatives and friends. Also, organizations and facilities for emergency management are badly damaged or destroyed. (2) Local officials are unable to undertake their usual work role, and this often extends into the recovery period. This means that, “many leadership roles may have to be taken by outsiders to the community.” (3) Nearby communities may also be somewhat affected and may not be able to offer much help. In this case, they may even scramble for relief resources with the more affected community. (4) Sudden and concurrent disruption of most or all of the everyday community functions cause workplaces, recreation sites or schools to shut down. (5) Extensive attention is drawn from mass media outlets, especially national media outlets, for a relatively long time. (6) Owing to the above five points, the political arena becomes even more important and catastrophe response is no longer merely an administrative issue under discussion but also a political agenda.

    2.1.2 Transboundary crisis

    Chris Ansell, a key figure in crises studies,and some other scholars proposed the concept of transboundary crisis to differ from the traditional notion of crisis. The term emphasizes three characteristics of a crisis circumstance: (1) crossing political boundaries. This involves not only government levels in a country vertically but also different governments in a region horizontally; (2)crossing functional boundaries, which concerns a number of policy domains; (3) crossing time boundaries. There is neither a specific start point, nor a clear-cut end point (Chris, Boin & Keller, 2010).Similar to the above-mentioned, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development(OECD) introduced the concept of “systemic risk”which emphasizes transboundary interaction and dissemination of risks as well as comprehensive consequences arising there from.

    2.1.3 Emerging risk.

    This is a concept raised by the International Risk Governance Council (IRGC), referring to any new risk, or familiar risk in an unfamiliar circumstance and consisting mainly of three broad categories: (1) “Risk with uncertain impacts, with uncertainty resulting from advancing science and technological innovation. (2) Risk with systemic impacts, stemming from technological systems with multiple interactions and systemic dependencies.(3) Risks with unexpected impacts, where new risks emerge from the use of established technologies in evolving environments or context.”①IRGC. Improving management of emerging risk.Retrieved from https: //www.irgc.org /risk-governance /emerging-risk /risk-management-in-industry /.“Novel crisis”defined by Arnold Howitt is similar and emphasizes the unfamiliar attributes of such a crisis.

    In a nutshell, extreme disaster, transboundary crisis and emerging risk have their respective features and yet overlap one another. They constitute complex circumstances for public administration under a chaotic state in risk society, driving change in public administration (see Fig. 1).

    2.2 Structure

    The structures of public administration under a disaster circumstance and a normal circumstance have both similarities and differences. The primary similarity is that the structure formed in a normal circumstance is sustained in a disaster circumstance but its mode of operation may change. The primary difference is that the structure may be innovated in a disaster circumstance.

    Figure.1 Public administration circumstances in risk society

    First is the existing administration structure.Safeguarding public security is a fundamental function of a government. In a disaster circumstance,a government needs to take on the task of disaster management in addition to routine administration responsibilities but the original organizational structure and mode of operation may be changed to fit the disaster circumstance. In terms of relationships among vertical government levels, selfdependence of local governments should be stressed while timely intervention of the central government must be counted on during responsibility assignment for the central and local governments. Due to differences in cultural backgrounds and institutional foundations, no country will follow the same way. For example, in the US’s federal political context, at the beginning, disaster relief was a local affair. Though the intervention from the federal government gets further, the main problem still lies in insufficient intervention. In China’s unitary political context, disaster relief has always been offered by the central government and the local government is not fully motivated so that the main issue is how to strengthen the responsibility of the local governance. In terms of relationships among horizontal government levels, importance is attached to cooperation among local governments. This is different from government performance competition in a normal circumstance. For instance, the US has Emergency Management Assistance Compact(EMAC) for state governments, and for China’s provincial governments, a cooperation agreement on emergency management is available for the Pearl River Delta. In terms of relationships among internal departments, division of tasks among departments in a normal circumstance is downplayed and interdepartmental cooperation becomes a must (Zhang&Tong, 2015).

    Analysis is then made on the innovated management structure. Quarantelli (1966)discovered that the classical organization theory cannot explain the form of organization under a disaster circumstance. Based on observations in field studies, he categorized the form of organization under a disaster circumstance into four types by structures and tasks: (1) established organization,which carries out routine tasks by the established structure; (2) organization with expanding functions,which implements unconventional tasks through the existing structure; (3) organization with an extending structure, which performs routine tasks through a new structure; and (4) emergent organization,which accomplishes unconventional tasks through a new structure. However, typical emergent organizations with significant changes in structures and tasks are not that common. A typical ones are more common and mainly have four types: (1)structural emergence, which means that the existing organization has a temporary change in its structure which is different from the previous but still not new;(2) task emergence, which means that there is no change but something is added to the daily tasks of the organization; (3) quasi-emergence, which means that there is no obvious change in either structure or function but some temporary change or slight adjustment is made; and (4) group emergence, which refers to a temporary group that appears but is still insufficient to form a formal organization(pp.47-68).

    The existing and innovated management structures may interact with each other to generate a mixed management structure so that the organizational structure of public administration evolves on the whole from a hierarchical mode to a network mode to meet challenges of risk society. Laurence O’Toole (1997) pointed out that the “Gordian knot” of disasters cannot be untied by dividing a complex task into mutually isolated simple tasks and that a network structure is more competent for handling a complex task than a hierarchical structure. He also mentioned that such tough issues have become the subject matter of public affairs since the 1950s. It can be seen from this starting time that the emergence of risk society and the complexity of public affairs almost occur synchronously and that the two have internal coincidence.

    2.3 Process

    The processes of public administration under a disaster circumstance and a normal circumstance are integrated and yet differential. Public administration under a disaster circumstance and a normal circumstance is a dynamically evolving process:From order to chaos and then from chaos back to order. Therefore, public administration under a disaster circumstance emphasizes two key steps,response in the process from order to chaos, and learning in the process from chaos back to order.This greatly expands the connotation and nature of the public administration process.

    As for response in the process from order to chaos, Russell Dynes (1979) divides organizational response under a disaster circumstance into two types. One is based on planning, i.e., to respond to a disaster according to pre-arranged plans,procedures and standard functional modules. The other is based on feedback, i.e., to realize mutual adjustment through transmission of information.Louise Comfort (1999) went further by defining organizational response to a disaster as a complex system and emphasizing mutual adjustments and coordinated actions through information collection,sharing and exchange among organizations to achieve collective performance. In such a process, the network structure and information flow constitute a complex adaptive system with the former allowing joint participation of multiorganizations and the latter promoting dynamic adaptations of response strategy.

    As for learning in the process from chaos back to order. Donald Moynihan (2008) differentiates two learning mechanisms: Intercrisis learning and intracrisis learning. Thomas Birkland (2006) pointed out that the core mechanism of intercrisis learning is “focal event,” which consists of: (1) government learning, which mainly involves public officials and leads to organizational change; (2) drawing lessons from experience, which mainly involves policy networks and leads to procedural change; (3) social learning, which mainly involves policy communities and leads to paradigm shift; (4) political learning,which mainly involves politicians and leads to improvement in debating skill for specific policy issues(pp.11-15). In addition, if media attention to a disaster and the significance of the topic for discussion are greater, intercrisis learning is more likely to happen. Intracrisis learning includes actual experience and virtual experience and other forms.

    3. Risk-society-oriented public administration

    The core of risk-society-oriented public administration is to develop emergency management.①From theoretical origin of emergency management, there are such other concepts as “safety management (governance)”, “risk management (governance)”,“disaster management (governance)”, and “crisis management (governance)”, which concern different disciplines. Though they have different focuses, they all emphasize joint participation of multiple subjects. The concept of “emergency management” is used in this article consistently for clear expression and the author’s preference to a generally used term.In terms of value goals, to strike a balance between security and development; in terms of institutional design, to emphasize an allhazards approach, multi-organization participation,whole-process management, and overall adaptive management. If viewed in an isolated way,emergency management is aimed at controlling the situation as soon as possible and minimizing disaster casualties, property loss and social disorder.If viewed systematically, emergency management and routine administration are indivisible in that the former can promote the latter while the latter can improve the former, and they constitute the whole picture of public administration in the context of risk society.

    In terms of value goals, risk-society-oriented public administration attaches more importance to security and needs to balance more appropriately the relationship between security and development. Lash pointed out that risk cultures lie in non-institutional and anti-institutional associations and risk society governance does not rely on science, technology and institution, but on values and concepts. Security “in an objective sense, measures the absence of threats to acquired values” (Arnold, 1952). David Baldwin(1997) summarized three types of security values;the prime value approach, the core value approach,and the marginal value approach. The assumption behind taking security as the prime value is that security is the prerequisite for enjoying other values such as freedom and prosperity. This is an absolute outlook on security, which is hard to establish if it is even attainable in reality, since people will pursue needs of a higher level once their needs for security are satisfied, according to Maslow’s theory of hierarchy of needs. Therefore, absolute security cannot persist even if it is attainable. The core value approach allows other values by asserting that security is one of several important values. For this approach, it is difficult to “justify the classification of some values as core values and other values as non-core values.” The assumption taking security as a marginal value is that the law of diminishing marginal utility also applies to security. In this approach, security is just one of the numerous policy goals that vie for resources so it is basically an issue of resource allocation. Where security is positioned in such an approach depends on circumstances. This depends not only on how much security is needed, but also on how much security is already available. When a society lacks security,the marginal benefit of security will be high and the demand for security will be urgent. When a society is secure, the marginal benefit will go down and the demand for security will decline. In risk society,public administration also weighs a decision over and over on whether to take security as a marginal value or a prime value due to the frequent switch between routine administration and emergency management(David,1997).

    For institutional design, risk society oriented public administration needs to emphasize the following aspects.

    3.1 All-disaster management in circumstances

    The theoretical basis of all-disaster management is an “all-hazards approach.” In 1979, the US government established the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), which combined the functions of natural disaster management and civil defense against nuclear strike to address uniformly technological, human-made and natural disasters, internal riot, shortage of energy sources and materials, as well as a variety of attacks.FEMA developed the “all-hazards approach” in its management practice and used it to guide emergency management practice in the US since the 1990s to promote and merge the functions of different institutions. Since the September 11 incident in 2001,anti-terrorism has become a priority and emergency management has been incorporated into homeland security management, which has further expanded the scope of all-disaster management. Up to now, the all-hazards approach has become a basic principle for countries around the world to design emergency management systems and develop actions and strategies.

    3.2 Multi-organization participation in structure

    Multi-organization participation is primarily based on two theoretical presuppositions. One is necessity as emergency management is a common social responsibility and the other is adequacy as different organizations can complement each other.For the first supposition, Comfort (1999) emphasized risk sharing and pointed out that all the stakeholders need to share the responsibilities for risk governance(p.6). For the second supposition, Tierney stressed organizational resilience and stated that it mainly comes from resource sharing among different organizations. In different political contexts,joint participation of the government, market and society is emphasized though the division of their responsibilities in emergency management which is not always the same. For example, in the US where a federal system is adopted, great importance is attached to participation of enterprises in emergency management as its infrastructure is mainly controlled by the private sector. In China where a uniform system is adopted, participation of enterprises is not that strongly stressed while more attention is given to participation of social subjects as its infrastructure mainly belongs to state-owned enterprises.

    3.3 Whole-process management

    The theoretical basis of whole-process management is the theory of the “emergency life circle.” The National Governor’s Association(NGA) (1979) proposed this theory in 1979 to guide emergency management practice and which divides an emergency management process into four stages;mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery (pp.7-8). After the September 11 attacks in 2001, one more stage, prevention was added to suit the needs for antiterrorism, and prevention has become a prime step for homeland security management. The theoretical supposition of this change is that terrorist attacks are intentional so they can be prevented.Nevertheless, according to the emergency life circle theory which originates from disaster management and civil defense management, whether it is a natural disaster, or a nuclear strike, it is unpreventable and efforts can only be made to minimize the loss.

    3.4 Overall adaptive management

    All-disaster management in circumstances,multi-organization participation in structure and whole-process management constitute Adaptive Emergency Management (AEM), which can be regarded as the development of Comprehensive Emergency Management (CEM). Although both emphasize an all-hazards approach, multiorganization participation and whole-process management, they differ significantly. In organizational structure, CEM stresses the merger of institutions and generally adopts a hierarchical mode while AEM emphasizes adaptation of the organization and generally adopts a network mode. In information flow, CEM stresses a formal information system and top-down information integration while AEM pays attention to an informal information system in addition to top-down information integration.

    The evolution from CEM to AEM results from the need to address risk society. As risks originate from reflexivity of modernity, any scientific, technological or institutional innovation will inevitably bring about negative consequences,leading to emerging risks. A paradox in risk governance thus comes into being. If scientific,technological or institutional innovation is encouraged, emerging risks will certainly come along; if emerging risks are to be eliminated, no efforts should be made for scientific, technological or institutional innovation. However, once no such efforts are made, human society will cease to advance. Therefore, in the face of emerging risks,only AEM can be applied so that institutional design of emergency management can be adjusted continuously according to dynamic changes in risks. On the premise of paying enough attention to security, a balance needs to be made between security and development with both aspects considered.

    4. Public administration practice related to risk society with Chinese characteristics

    On the whole, China is passing through an overlapping period from a pre-industrial society to an industrial society with increasing risk society. It has the transition of modernization and modernity, and the two influence and magnify each other, forming unique Chinese characteristics of risk society. As Beck (2008) stated: “China is advancing fully toward modernization. It spent 30 years finishing its modernization which took the western world two or three hundred years. In the course, agony and instability of social transition would be inevitable.It is just like a hungry man quickly eating a box of compressed biscuits. He may not feel full in a short time but soon after, a stomachache and discomfort will come one after another. This is the compressed biscuit theory often referred to in sociology. Whether in old or current times of the western world, it happens without exception.” China’s emergency management practice can roughly be divided into three periods since the 1950s.

    4.1 Disaster prevention

    Prior to the outbreak of SARS in 2003, China applied systematic management to prevention and response to disasters, with emphasis on prevention.①It needs to be explained that natural disasters, such as flood and earthquake, cannot be prevented in nature but mitigated. This is different from the ideology that“man can conquer nature”in the past. Nor is it the same as the prevention emphasized in the emergency life circle theory after the September 11 incident.Among others, flood and earthquake prevention were mostly emphasized with the formulation of applicable laws such as the Law on Flood Control and the Law on Protecting Against and Mitigating Earthquake Disasters and with main management functions performed by authorities in charge of water resources and earthquake control. In addition,the Law on the Prevention and Treatment of Infectious Diseases and the Law on Work Safety also cover the prevention against and response to disasters concerning public health and work safety.

    4.2 Emergency management

    After the outbreak of SARS in 2003, China started to establish a comprehensive emergency management system to uniformly address natural disasters, accidents, public health and social security incidents, covering emergency plans, emergency response systems and mechanisms, and law systems, referred to collectively as “one plan and three systems.” In 2006, the State Council of China issued the Master State Plan for Rapid Response to Public Emergencies to gradually establish an emergency planning system covering horizontal and vertical levels. In 2007, China issued the Emergency Response Law and authorized the people’s governments at various levels to lead emergency management and establish four mechanisms for prevention and preparedness, early warning and monitoring, rescue and disposal, and rehabilitation and recovery.

    4.3 Security governance② The concept of “security governance” used here is mainly based on the way of expression in security studies. “Security governance” is a theoretical integration framework widely accepted in security studies. Krahmann Elke. (2003). Conceptualizing Security Governance. Journal of Nordic International Studies Association, 38, (1).

    In 2014, China proposed an “overall national security outlook” and set up the National Security Committee in charge of traditional and nontraditional, internal and external security,covering political, military, economic, cultural,social, scientific, technological, ecological, and nuclear security as well as security of homeland,information, and resources. In 2015, China issued the National Security Law, which specifies further issues covered by the overall national security outlook by adding security types related to food,infrastructure, finance, cyberspace, outer space,international sea-bed areas, and the polar region.

    Diachronically, disaster prevention, emergency management and security governance evolve from one to another as emergency management includes disaster prevention and security governance covers emergency management. The three have different emphasis and are related to one another. Disaster prevention focuses on a single disaster, emergency management emphasizes comprehensiveness, and security governance attaches importance to overall strategy. With disaster prevention and security governance being routine administration, a public administration system oriented risk society is well established featuring a complete cycle from routine administration to emergency management and then back to routine administration. The relationship of the three is shown as Fig. 2.

    Having the future in mind, we need to take a new look at China’s public administration, both in theory and practice, in order to meet challenges of risk society. Theoretically speaking, studies in public administration of China need to fully explore the wisdom of Chinese traditional culture and insights gained in contemporary practices based on learning from and drawing on western theories, and carry out corresponding theoretical transformations and generalizations to enhance the autonomy and contribution of China’s public administration research. In terms of practice, an approach that is based on China’s political situation and incorporates global risk society governance strategies needs to be developed for public administration of China.

    (Translator: Wen Yi; Editor: Yan Yuting)

    Figure. 2 Relationships between generations of China’s emergency management practices

    This paper has been translated and reprinted with the permission of Journal of Nanjing University(Philosophy, Humanities and Social Sciences), No.4, 2017.

    Anthony Giddens. (1998). Modernity and self-identity. Beijing: SDX Joint Publishing Company.

    Anthony Giddens. (2000).Runaway world: How globalization is reshaping our lives. London: Routledge Press.

    Anthony Giddens.(1990).The consequences of modernity. California: Stanford University Press.

    Arnold Wolfers. (1952). National security as an ambiguous symbol.Political Science Quarterly, 67, (4).

    Beck Ulrich& Edgar Grande.(2008).Cosmopolitan Europe: Society and politics with second modernity. Shanghai: East China Normal University Press.

    Beck Ulrich. (2004). Global risk society after the September 11 incident.Marxism and Reality, (2).

    Chris Ansell, ArjenBoin, & Ann Keller.(2010).Managing transboundarycrises: Identifying the building blocks of an effective response system.Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management, 18 (4).

    David Baldwin.(1997). The concept of security.Review of International Studies, (23).

    Donald Moynihan. (2008). Learning under uncertainty: Networks in crisis management.Public Administration Review, (2).

    Enrico Quarantelli. (1996).Emergent Behavior at the Emergency Time Periods of Disasters.Kian M. Kwan, Greenwich, Individuality and Social Control, Essays in Honor of Tamotsu Shibutani, CT: JAI Press.

    Enrico Quarantelli. Catastrophes are different from disasters: Some implications for crisis planning drawn from Katrina.Understanding Katrina: perspective from the social science. Retrieved from http: //understandingkatrina.ssrc.org /Quarantelli/.

    Enrico Quarantelli.(1966). Organization under Stress.Robert Brictson& Santa Monic, Symposium on Emergency Operations, CA:Systems Development Cooperation: 3-19.

    Kathleen Tierney&Joseph Trainor.Networks and resilience in the world trade centerdisaster. MCEER: Research Progress and Accomplishments 2003-2004. Retrieved from http: //mceer.buffalo.edu /publications/resaccom /04-sp01/11_tierney.pdf.

    Laurence O’Toole.(1997).Treating networks seriously: Practical and research-based agendas in public administration.Public Administration Review, 57, (1).

    Louise Comfort.Rethinking security: Organizational fragility in extreme events.Public Administration Review(Special Issue: Democratic Governance in the Aftermath of September 11, 2001, 2002, 62, Supplement S1).

    Louise Comfort.(1999).Shared risk: Complex system in seismic response. New York: Pergamon Press.

    National Governor’s Association.(1979). Comprehensive emergency management: A governor’s guide, Center for Policy Research,Washington, D. C.: Center for Policy Research.

    Robert Stallings.(1998).Disaster and theory of social order. In Quarantelli, E.L.(Ed),What is adisaster? Perspective on the question.London: Routledge.

    Russell Dynes. (1979). Organization adaptation to crises: Mechanisms of coordination and structure change.Disaster,3, (1).

    Scott Lash.(2002).Risk society and risk culture.Marxism and Reality, (4).

    Thomas Birkland.(2006).Lessons of disasters: Policy change after catastrophe events. Washington D. C: Georgetown University Press.

    Tierney Kathleen. (2012). Disaster governance: Social, political, and economic dimensions.The Annual Review of Environment and Resources, (37), 341-363.

    Ulrich Beck, Anthony Giddens& Scott Lash. (2001). Reぼexive modernization: politics, tradition and aesthetics in the modern social order (Trans). Beijing: The Commercial Press.

    Ulrich Beck (2003). From industrial society to risk society (Part One) — Thoughts on human survival, social structure and ecological enlightenment.Marxism and Reality. (3).

    Ulrich Beck.(1992).Risk society: Towards anew modernity. London: Sage Publications.

    Zhang Haibo& Tong Xing.(2015). Structurechange and theory generalization of China’s emergency management.Social Sciences in China, (3).

    99国产精品免费福利视频| 国产精品偷伦视频观看了| 国产成人免费观看mmmm| 精品少妇久久久久久888优播| 黄色毛片三级朝国网站| 久热久热在线精品观看| 亚洲精品一二三| 欧美三级亚洲精品| 国产精品人妻久久久影院| 国精品久久久久久国模美| 麻豆精品久久久久久蜜桃| 中文字幕久久专区| 三级国产精品欧美在线观看| 亚洲国产精品专区欧美| 高清不卡的av网站| 亚洲人成网站在线播| 人人妻人人爽人人添夜夜欢视频| 国产精品 国内视频| 一本色道久久久久久精品综合| 男女边吃奶边做爰视频| 日韩 亚洲 欧美在线| 在线观看一区二区三区激情| 国产高清不卡午夜福利| 亚洲av男天堂| 热99国产精品久久久久久7| 午夜精品国产一区二区电影| 成人免费观看视频高清| 国产精品秋霞免费鲁丝片| 激情五月婷婷亚洲| 国产亚洲一区二区精品| 欧美激情 高清一区二区三区| 三级国产精品欧美在线观看| 多毛熟女@视频| 老司机亚洲免费影院| 丁香六月天网| 日本黄大片高清| 亚洲精品乱久久久久久| 国产精品一区www在线观看| 成人综合一区亚洲| 久久免费观看电影| 免费不卡的大黄色大毛片视频在线观看| 久久97久久精品| 亚洲精品456在线播放app| 国产精品不卡视频一区二区| 日本与韩国留学比较| 亚洲欧洲精品一区二区精品久久久 | 99久久精品国产国产毛片| 亚洲精品乱码久久久v下载方式| av视频免费观看在线观看| 欧美精品一区二区大全| 精品一区在线观看国产| 啦啦啦啦在线视频资源| 亚洲国产日韩一区二区| 日韩制服骚丝袜av| 最后的刺客免费高清国语| 久久精品国产a三级三级三级| 久久精品国产亚洲av涩爱| 国产精品成人在线| 国产高清有码在线观看视频| 狠狠精品人妻久久久久久综合| 亚洲人成网站在线观看播放| 国产 一区精品| 久久人人爽av亚洲精品天堂| 天堂俺去俺来也www色官网| 免费看不卡的av| 日韩av在线免费看完整版不卡| 欧美精品国产亚洲| 亚洲精品成人av观看孕妇| 国产av一区二区精品久久| 国产精品 国内视频| 一级毛片电影观看| 特大巨黑吊av在线直播| 岛国毛片在线播放| 成人国产av品久久久| 成人免费观看视频高清| 一级毛片 在线播放| 国语对白做爰xxxⅹ性视频网站| 99热这里只有精品一区| 国产av码专区亚洲av| 桃花免费在线播放| av女优亚洲男人天堂| 成年女人在线观看亚洲视频| 国产一区二区三区av在线| 视频中文字幕在线观看| 久久精品国产亚洲av天美| 波野结衣二区三区在线| 亚州av有码| 亚洲四区av| 黄色欧美视频在线观看| 免费人成在线观看视频色| 日日啪夜夜爽| 亚洲综合精品二区| 夜夜骑夜夜射夜夜干| 欧美xxxx性猛交bbbb| a级毛片黄视频| 999精品在线视频| 涩涩av久久男人的天堂| 久久久欧美国产精品| 亚洲,欧美,日韩| 国产免费现黄频在线看| 久久热精品热| 成人黄色视频免费在线看| 日本vs欧美在线观看视频| 男女边吃奶边做爰视频| 王馨瑶露胸无遮挡在线观看| 日本欧美视频一区| av在线观看视频网站免费| 久久人人爽av亚洲精品天堂| 18禁动态无遮挡网站| 久久精品人人爽人人爽视色| 午夜激情久久久久久久| 热re99久久精品国产66热6| 制服丝袜香蕉在线| 国产精品一区二区在线不卡| 成年av动漫网址| 波野结衣二区三区在线| 午夜激情久久久久久久| 国产精品一二三区在线看| 91精品三级在线观看| 国产欧美日韩综合在线一区二区| 最近手机中文字幕大全| 亚洲性久久影院| 亚洲熟女精品中文字幕| 人妻人人澡人人爽人人| 午夜免费男女啪啪视频观看| 精品久久久久久久久亚洲| 精品国产国语对白av| 国产免费又黄又爽又色| 91午夜精品亚洲一区二区三区| 国产精品欧美亚洲77777| 国产日韩欧美视频二区| 欧美日本中文国产一区发布| 菩萨蛮人人尽说江南好唐韦庄| 精品少妇内射三级| 亚洲av成人精品一区久久| 久久久久久久久久久久大奶| 高清不卡的av网站| 亚洲丝袜综合中文字幕| 婷婷色综合大香蕉| 午夜91福利影院| 黄色欧美视频在线观看| 一区在线观看完整版| 国模一区二区三区四区视频| 亚洲国产精品999| 最新中文字幕久久久久| 人妻少妇偷人精品九色| 国产欧美亚洲国产| 97超视频在线观看视频| 最近的中文字幕免费完整| 一本一本久久a久久精品综合妖精 国产伦在线观看视频一区 | 成年女人在线观看亚洲视频| 亚洲欧美成人综合另类久久久| 毛片一级片免费看久久久久| 国产精品麻豆人妻色哟哟久久| 成年美女黄网站色视频大全免费 | 在线精品无人区一区二区三| 少妇人妻久久综合中文| 韩国高清视频一区二区三区| 99视频精品全部免费 在线| 午夜激情久久久久久久| 内地一区二区视频在线| 满18在线观看网站| 啦啦啦视频在线资源免费观看| 黑人巨大精品欧美一区二区蜜桃 | 十分钟在线观看高清视频www| 丰满少妇做爰视频| 日韩成人伦理影院| 成人国产av品久久久| 免费人妻精品一区二区三区视频| 国产高清有码在线观看视频| 男女无遮挡免费网站观看| 国产午夜精品久久久久久一区二区三区| 校园人妻丝袜中文字幕| 日韩视频在线欧美| 99热国产这里只有精品6| av电影中文网址| 国产成人午夜福利电影在线观看| 久久久久精品久久久久真实原创| 国产精品嫩草影院av在线观看| 精品视频人人做人人爽| 国产一区二区在线观看日韩| 51国产日韩欧美| 日本黄色日本黄色录像| 精品久久久久久久久av| 久久精品国产亚洲av天美| av网站免费在线观看视频| 亚洲色图综合在线观看| 午夜免费男女啪啪视频观看| 爱豆传媒免费全集在线观看| 丰满饥渴人妻一区二区三| 久久女婷五月综合色啪小说| 国产日韩一区二区三区精品不卡 | 超色免费av| 亚洲成人手机| 在线精品无人区一区二区三| 日韩三级伦理在线观看| 欧美成人精品欧美一级黄| 国产av码专区亚洲av| 国产日韩一区二区三区精品不卡 | 91aial.com中文字幕在线观看| 国产av国产精品国产| av在线老鸭窝| 黄片无遮挡物在线观看| 老司机影院成人| 国产欧美亚洲国产| 成人影院久久| 天天影视国产精品| 又大又黄又爽视频免费| 久久精品国产亚洲网站| 亚洲欧美一区二区三区黑人 | 高清av免费在线| 欧美 日韩 精品 国产| 久久人妻熟女aⅴ| 丰满迷人的少妇在线观看| 伊人久久国产一区二区| 视频在线观看一区二区三区| 人妻人人澡人人爽人人| 性高湖久久久久久久久免费观看| 大码成人一级视频| 99热这里只有精品一区| 街头女战士在线观看网站| 一级毛片我不卡| 人人妻人人爽人人添夜夜欢视频| 777米奇影视久久| 欧美 日韩 精品 国产| 你懂的网址亚洲精品在线观看| 免费播放大片免费观看视频在线观看| 九九久久精品国产亚洲av麻豆| 欧美精品国产亚洲| 精品国产国语对白av| 成年av动漫网址| 少妇高潮的动态图| 国产 一区精品| 人人妻人人添人人爽欧美一区卜| 国产精品熟女久久久久浪| 丝袜喷水一区| 色网站视频免费| 成人国产麻豆网| 国产成人a∨麻豆精品| 亚洲精品中文字幕在线视频| 人人妻人人爽人人添夜夜欢视频| 国产精品 国内视频| 97在线视频观看| 国产精品99久久99久久久不卡 | 久久久精品94久久精品| 在线观看一区二区三区激情| 国产一区二区在线观看av| 麻豆精品久久久久久蜜桃| 夜夜看夜夜爽夜夜摸| 观看美女的网站| 亚洲精品一二三| 亚州av有码| 中文字幕亚洲精品专区| 成人毛片a级毛片在线播放| 久久国产亚洲av麻豆专区| 欧美一级a爱片免费观看看| 久久久久精品久久久久真实原创| 春色校园在线视频观看| videosex国产| 免费观看性生交大片5| 亚洲丝袜综合中文字幕| 亚洲av福利一区| 中文字幕制服av| 亚洲av中文av极速乱| 春色校园在线视频观看| 大陆偷拍与自拍| 久久人人爽av亚洲精品天堂| 大又大粗又爽又黄少妇毛片口| 欧美日韩视频精品一区| 国产亚洲一区二区精品| 亚洲精品日韩在线中文字幕| 熟女人妻精品中文字幕| 全区人妻精品视频| 久久人人爽av亚洲精品天堂| 午夜免费观看性视频| 极品人妻少妇av视频| 超碰97精品在线观看| av超薄肉色丝袜交足视频| 一区二区三区国产精品乱码| 大香蕉久久网| 久久青草综合色| 日韩欧美一区二区三区在线观看 | 午夜久久久在线观看| av线在线观看网站| 18禁黄网站禁片午夜丰满| 成人特级黄色片久久久久久久 | 丝袜美足系列| 国产伦理片在线播放av一区| 国产人伦9x9x在线观看| 他把我摸到了高潮在线观看 | 国产欧美日韩一区二区三| 国产精品亚洲av一区麻豆| 男人舔女人的私密视频| 日本一区二区免费在线视频| 国产欧美日韩一区二区三区在线| 1024视频免费在线观看| 国产精品98久久久久久宅男小说| 18禁美女被吸乳视频| 色播在线永久视频| 亚洲人成77777在线视频| 人人澡人人妻人| 国产精品国产av在线观看| 自拍欧美九色日韩亚洲蝌蚪91| 999久久久国产精品视频| 91国产中文字幕| 两性午夜刺激爽爽歪歪视频在线观看 | 日韩中文字幕欧美一区二区| 丝袜人妻中文字幕| 麻豆乱淫一区二区| 色94色欧美一区二区| 脱女人内裤的视频| 成年人免费黄色播放视频| 黑人欧美特级aaaaaa片| 另类亚洲欧美激情| 丰满人妻熟妇乱又伦精品不卡| 国产男靠女视频免费网站| 免费在线观看黄色视频的| 蜜桃国产av成人99| 麻豆国产av国片精品| 成人特级黄色片久久久久久久 | 天天躁日日躁夜夜躁夜夜| 亚洲中文av在线| 国产在线精品亚洲第一网站| 亚洲男人天堂网一区| 免费av中文字幕在线| 国产成人系列免费观看| 首页视频小说图片口味搜索| 在线观看人妻少妇| 少妇的丰满在线观看| 免费看a级黄色片| 久久久精品国产亚洲av高清涩受| 黄色 视频免费看| 国产精品成人在线| 亚洲精品国产区一区二| 午夜精品久久久久久毛片777| 亚洲五月色婷婷综合| 国产精品久久久久久人妻精品电影 | 亚洲成人国产一区在线观看| 久久热在线av| 亚洲精品美女久久久久99蜜臀| www.熟女人妻精品国产| 一进一出好大好爽视频| 久久人妻av系列| 国产精品国产av在线观看| 国产成人啪精品午夜网站| 巨乳人妻的诱惑在线观看| 国产区一区二久久| 天天影视国产精品| 国产激情久久老熟女| 日韩精品免费视频一区二区三区| 色综合欧美亚洲国产小说| 亚洲欧美色中文字幕在线| 首页视频小说图片口味搜索| 国产在线观看jvid| 91麻豆av在线| 午夜福利乱码中文字幕| 成人影院久久| 人人妻人人爽人人添夜夜欢视频| 精品第一国产精品| 一本一本久久a久久精品综合妖精| svipshipincom国产片| h视频一区二区三区| 大片电影免费在线观看免费| 精品视频人人做人人爽| 国产片内射在线| 国产欧美日韩一区二区三| 伦理电影免费视频| 少妇被粗大的猛进出69影院| 国产一区二区 视频在线| 亚洲,欧美精品.| 国产高清国产精品国产三级| 亚洲久久久国产精品| 两个人看的免费小视频| 久久久水蜜桃国产精品网| 我的亚洲天堂| 国产精品.久久久| 亚洲中文日韩欧美视频| 天天添夜夜摸| 成人永久免费在线观看视频 | 成年版毛片免费区| a级毛片在线看网站| 色老头精品视频在线观看| 纵有疾风起免费观看全集完整版| 美女国产高潮福利片在线看| 国产黄色免费在线视频| 欧美日韩黄片免| 69精品国产乱码久久久| 国产在线一区二区三区精| 两人在一起打扑克的视频| 色在线成人网| 国产激情久久老熟女| 日韩欧美一区视频在线观看| 国产人伦9x9x在线观看| 国产不卡av网站在线观看| 首页视频小说图片口味搜索| 999久久久精品免费观看国产| 亚洲成av片中文字幕在线观看| 中文欧美无线码| 午夜福利影视在线免费观看| 久久人妻熟女aⅴ| 99国产精品一区二区三区| 国产福利在线免费观看视频| 麻豆成人av在线观看| 黄片大片在线免费观看| 日本黄色视频三级网站网址 | 久久精品国产综合久久久| 老司机靠b影院| 老汉色av国产亚洲站长工具| 亚洲精品乱久久久久久| 欧美精品亚洲一区二区| 人人妻人人爽人人添夜夜欢视频| 国产精品美女特级片免费视频播放器 | 高清黄色对白视频在线免费看| 精品一区二区三区av网在线观看 | 满18在线观看网站| 两个人看的免费小视频| 香蕉久久夜色| 亚洲成av片中文字幕在线观看| 在线av久久热| 飞空精品影院首页| 久久精品91无色码中文字幕| 午夜福利视频精品| 在线观看免费视频网站a站| 黄色片一级片一级黄色片| 极品少妇高潮喷水抽搐| 美女扒开内裤让男人捅视频| 日韩欧美三级三区| 男男h啪啪无遮挡| 中文字幕人妻丝袜制服| 老司机在亚洲福利影院| 欧美乱妇无乱码| 欧美日韩亚洲高清精品| 日本撒尿小便嘘嘘汇集6| 无遮挡黄片免费观看| 免费久久久久久久精品成人欧美视频| 欧美变态另类bdsm刘玥| 我的亚洲天堂| 黄色视频,在线免费观看| 女性被躁到高潮视频| 男女边摸边吃奶| 国产精品久久久久久精品古装| 两性夫妻黄色片| 成人国产一区最新在线观看| 大码成人一级视频| 国产精品国产av在线观看| 精品国产乱子伦一区二区三区| 99香蕉大伊视频| 天天躁夜夜躁狠狠躁躁| 大码成人一级视频| 另类亚洲欧美激情| 黄色毛片三级朝国网站| 91av网站免费观看| 黑人巨大精品欧美一区二区mp4| 又大又爽又粗| 男人舔女人的私密视频| 老司机福利观看| 日韩欧美一区二区三区在线观看 | 王馨瑶露胸无遮挡在线观看| 99国产精品一区二区蜜桃av | 欧美在线黄色| 91大片在线观看| 日本黄色日本黄色录像| 夜夜骑夜夜射夜夜干| 色精品久久人妻99蜜桃| 纯流量卡能插随身wifi吗| 日本vs欧美在线观看视频| 亚洲欧美色中文字幕在线| 伦理电影免费视频| 视频区欧美日本亚洲| 欧美 亚洲 国产 日韩一| 亚洲av国产av综合av卡| 午夜视频精品福利| 少妇的丰满在线观看| 久久久欧美国产精品| 中文字幕av电影在线播放| 极品教师在线免费播放| 欧美日韩精品网址| 中文字幕人妻熟女乱码| 免费少妇av软件| 正在播放国产对白刺激| videosex国产| 午夜激情av网站| 男人操女人黄网站| 国产亚洲精品第一综合不卡| 久久ye,这里只有精品| 亚洲熟妇熟女久久| 欧美精品啪啪一区二区三区| 欧美精品一区二区免费开放| 丁香六月天网| 久久人妻av系列| 免费高清在线观看日韩| 欧美日韩av久久| 欧美人与性动交α欧美精品济南到| 亚洲av成人不卡在线观看播放网| 日韩中文字幕视频在线看片| 一本一本久久a久久精品综合妖精| 国精品久久久久久国模美| 免费观看av网站的网址| 动漫黄色视频在线观看| 国产精品亚洲av一区麻豆| 亚洲精品一二三| 亚洲av片天天在线观看| 最近最新免费中文字幕在线| 成人国产一区最新在线观看| 午夜成年电影在线免费观看| 女性生殖器流出的白浆| 777久久人妻少妇嫩草av网站| 两性夫妻黄色片| 丁香六月天网| 两个人看的免费小视频| 久久人妻福利社区极品人妻图片| 下体分泌物呈黄色| 日韩有码中文字幕| 亚洲精品久久成人aⅴ小说| 国产成人av激情在线播放| 国产av精品麻豆| 女同久久另类99精品国产91| 免费观看a级毛片全部| 成人国产一区最新在线观看| 亚洲国产av影院在线观看| 老司机靠b影院| 99热国产这里只有精品6| 亚洲精品在线观看二区| 午夜成年电影在线免费观看| 国产精品.久久久| 欧美日韩精品网址| 热99re8久久精品国产| 男女无遮挡免费网站观看| 国产精品电影一区二区三区 | 欧美成人免费av一区二区三区 | 国产精品自产拍在线观看55亚洲 | 在线观看一区二区三区激情| 黄色a级毛片大全视频| 国产有黄有色有爽视频| 亚洲精品在线美女| 久久久久国产一级毛片高清牌| 宅男免费午夜| 搡老熟女国产l中国老女人| 欧美日韩成人在线一区二区| 精品亚洲乱码少妇综合久久| 久久久久精品国产欧美久久久| 91精品三级在线观看| 老司机亚洲免费影院| 美女主播在线视频| 日韩精品免费视频一区二区三区| 一级毛片女人18水好多| 亚洲av第一区精品v没综合| 老司机靠b影院| 亚洲avbb在线观看| 日韩熟女老妇一区二区性免费视频| 夜夜骑夜夜射夜夜干| 中文字幕高清在线视频| 久久精品成人免费网站| 国产在线一区二区三区精| 欧美大码av| 99精国产麻豆久久婷婷| 另类精品久久| av网站在线播放免费| 亚洲中文av在线| 在线观看66精品国产| e午夜精品久久久久久久| 91麻豆精品激情在线观看国产 | 精品国内亚洲2022精品成人 | 日本av免费视频播放| 国产又爽黄色视频| 国产精品一区二区免费欧美| 国产一区二区激情短视频| 欧美日韩国产mv在线观看视频| 91麻豆精品激情在线观看国产 | 国产人伦9x9x在线观看| 一进一出好大好爽视频| 国产99久久九九免费精品| 90打野战视频偷拍视频| 别揉我奶头~嗯~啊~动态视频| 日韩免费av在线播放| 久久人妻熟女aⅴ| 亚洲色图av天堂| 久久精品人人爽人人爽视色| 女人爽到高潮嗷嗷叫在线视频| 亚洲中文av在线| 女人爽到高潮嗷嗷叫在线视频| 18禁美女被吸乳视频| 成人特级黄色片久久久久久久 | e午夜精品久久久久久久| 亚洲第一av免费看| 国产精品欧美亚洲77777| 日本欧美视频一区| 正在播放国产对白刺激| 国产在线免费精品| 一级毛片精品| 极品教师在线免费播放| 老司机在亚洲福利影院| 电影成人av| 不卡一级毛片| 国产精品亚洲av一区麻豆| 欧美激情 高清一区二区三区| 国产高清videossex| 久久av网站| 香蕉久久夜色| 超色免费av| 国产亚洲精品第一综合不卡| 十分钟在线观看高清视频www| 国产xxxxx性猛交| 精品一区二区三区av网在线观看 | 国产精品 欧美亚洲| 五月开心婷婷网| 免费在线观看视频国产中文字幕亚洲| 最近最新免费中文字幕在线| 男人舔女人的私密视频| 久久久久国产一级毛片高清牌| 精品一区二区三卡| 免费av中文字幕在线| 亚洲av电影在线进入| 欧美成人午夜精品| bbb黄色大片|